摘要
在分析广州铁路?(?集团?)?公司?2010—2014?年大宗货物发送量变动情况的基础上,研究大宗货物运量下滑因素,采用季节变动预测法对历史资料进行长期趋势、季节变动、循环变动和随机变动的综合测定,在定量分析的基础上进行定性分析预测,有计划地组织生产,有效配置资源,提高科学决策水平。
Based on analyzing the change status of bulk cargo originated in 2010-2014 by Guangzhou Railway(Group) Corporation, this paper analyzes the reasons of bulk cargo originated decreasing, and makes comprehensive determination on long-term trend, seasonal change, cycle change and random change of historical materials by seasonal change prediction method. Based on quantitative analysis, qualitative analysis and forecast was taken, the production was organized designedly, resource was configured effectively and scientific decisionmaking level was increased.
出处
《铁道货运》
2015年第3期41-46,5,共6页
Railway Freight Transport
关键词
铁路
大宗货物
发送量
预测
Railway
Bulk Cargo
Originated Volume
Forecast
