摘要
为了研究新疆沙产业发展区域差异性,分析沙产业发展与环境、经济的关系,选取准噶尔盆地南缘的19个县市(兵团)作为主要研究对象,数据来源为实地调查和新疆统计年鉴、各地2013年统计公报等面板数据,筛选出当地沙产业发展、经济发展以及环境状况的16个典型指标,运用因子分析、聚类分析等方法,对调查区19个不同区域的沙产业发展进行了综合评价与分类比较,采用多元线性回归,分析了沙产业发展与环境、经济之间的相互关系。得出以下结论:(1)沙产业发展能够改善环境,拉动经济;(2)沙产业发展的焦点和难点为均衡性不足;(3)沙产业前期发展的短板是"挤出效应"。提出以下建议:(1)因地制宜,发展特色沙产业;(2)加大科技创新投入力度,合理规划投资规模。
In order to study the regional differences of the development of deserticulture and analyze therelationship between deserticulture and environment and economy in Xinjiang, 19 counties were selected asthe research object in the Southern margin of Junggar basin. The data were collected from field investigation,the＂Xinjiang Statistics Yearbook＂and the statistic bulletin of different regions in Xinjiang. 16 typical indexeswere chosen to study the development of deserticulture, economy and environment. Using the factor analysisand the cluster analysis, this paper made a comprehensive evaluation and a classification by comparison thedevelopment of deserticulture in the 19 regions. Using the multiple linear regression analysis, this paper gotthe relationship between the development of deserticulture and economy and environment. The results showedthat：（1） the development of deserticulture was able to optimize the environment, promote economicdevelopment;（2） the focus and difficulties of deserticulture were the unbalanced development;（3） the shortboard was the＂crowding out＂effect in the earlier stage of development. Finally, the author put forward thefollowing suggestions：（1） relevant departments should adjust their measures to local conditions, and developthe characteristic deserticulture;（2） increase the investment on technology innovation, and plan a rational investment scale.
出处
《中国农学通报》
2015年第8期273-279,共7页
Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin
基金
新疆农业大学产学研联合培养研究生项目"新疆沙产业发展调查报告"(xjaucxy-yjs-20131043)
关键词
沙产业发展
经济
环境
多元统计分析
the development of deserticulture
economy
environment
multivariate statistical analysis
