摘要
基于绿色卢恩伯格生产率指标的双重分解,本文首次采用两期权重修正罗素模型研究资源环境约束下节能减排对中国绿色全要素生产率的影响效应与机制,分析节能减排能否实现环境和中国绿色经济的双赢。研究发现,1999—2012年中国绿色全要素生产率平均增长1.33%,其中节能减排绩效为1.20%,贡献度高达90.23%,是生产率增长的核心动力;减排绩效优于节能绩效,SO_2减排绩效优于COD减排绩效。节能减排主要通过推动技术进步促进绿色全要素生产率增长,进而实现环境和绿色经济的双赢,"波特假说"得到验证。三大地区在经济增长和环境保护之间面临权衡,东部和中部地区分别通过"管理减排"和"自然减排"实现环境和绿色经济的共赢,东部地区效果更佳;西部地区"高能耗、高排放"的粗放增长模式最终导致环境和绿色经济的"双重恶化"。结合本文的研究结论,节能减排可以通过强化节能减排技术与管制,挖掘节能和COD减排潜力,实施区域差异化的节能减排政策进一步促进中国绿色全要素生产率增长,推动绿色经济发展。
Based on the dual decompositions of green Luenberger productivity indicator,this paper firstly applies the biennial weight modified Russell model to study the energy conservation and emission reduction performance’s effect and its mechanism on China’s green TFP under resource and environment constrains and analyze the issue whether energy conservation and emission reduction can drive China to achieve the win-win development between environment and green economy.The major findings are showed as follows,China’s green TFP improves 1.33%averagely from 1999 to 2012,and die energy conservation and emission reduction performance are 1.20%with high contribution share 90.23%,which are the critical drivers of productivity.The emission reduction performance is better than energy conservation performance,and SO2 reduction performance is better than COD reduction performance.Energy conservation and emission reduction mainly improve the green TFP by booming the technical progress and then drive DMUs to achieve the win-win situation,which supports the Porter hypothesis.The Three Regions have a trade-off relationship between economy and environment.The east and Central areas achieve the win-win situation by adopting "managerial strategy" and "natural strategy" respectively,and the east’s effect is more remarkable,while the west encounters the "double deterioration" because of the highly-energyconsuming and highly-polluting production model.According to the main findings of this paper,energy conservation and emission reduction can further improve China’s green TFP to promote green economic development by strengthening energy conservation and emission reduction technology and regulation,increasing the contribution shares of energy conservation and COD reduction,and adopting regional differentiation strategies.
出处
《中国工业经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第5期57-69,共13页
China Industrial Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"雾霾治理与经济发展方式转变机制研究"(批准号14ZDB44)
教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划"环境管制
全要素生产率与经济增长"(批准号NCET-110856)
广东省人文社会科学重点基地资源环境与可持续发展研究所项目"节能减排对广东经济发展的影响及政策研究:基于绿色生产率的视角"(批准号2012JDXM_0009)
关键词
节能减排
两期权重修正罗素模型
绿色卢恩伯格生产率指标
“波特假说”
energy conservation and emission reduction
biennial weight modified Russell model
green Luenberger productivity indicator
Porter hypothesis