摘要
市场化改革的经济形势下，民航运输因其是唯一可以提供世界范围运输网络的交通运输方式，而在国民经济和社会发展中扮演越来越重要的角色。我国航空运输业的发展是伴随着政府规制的调整逐渐向前发展的，而市场化改革更是民航运输与经济关联的重要影响因素。在充分考虑了民航市场化改革这一节点因素，选取2002～2012年的数据，对民航运输发展水平和经济增长之间关系进行协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应和方差分解分析。结果显示，民航发展对经济增长的推动作用已明显显现。这对于正确认识民航运输与经济增长的关系，积极谋求民航运输的适度前瞻发展具有重要意义。
With the market-oriented reform, air transportation plays an important role in national economy and social development, because the civil aviation transportation is the only way, which can provide the transportation net all over the world. Due to the adjustment of government regulation, air transportation in our country moves forward gradually. In addition, market - oriented reform is the most important factor, which affects the connection between civil aviation and economy. Considering the market- oriented reform in civil aviation tmmpurta- tion, the article selects data from 2002 to 2012, in order to analyze the relationship about civil aviation develovnent level and economic growth, including co- integration test, Granger causality, impulse- response and variance decomposition. As a consequence, economic growth benefits from the development of civil aviation obviously. There is a significant meaning to correctly understanding the relationship be- tween civil aviation and economic growth, and also to actively seek appropriate prospective development of civil aviation.
出处
《工业技术经济》
北大核心
2015年第6期10-16,共7页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
关键词
民航运输
经济增长
协整实证
civil aviation transportation industry
economic growth
co- integration
empirical research
