摘要
利用2004—2013年的省际面板数据,采用格兰杰因果检验、面板向量自回归模型等方法全面分析信息化与旅游产业发展之间的互动关系。实证研究结果表明:信息化与旅游产业发展存在互动关系,但两者的关系还需进一步协调。两者协调性不足的原因是旅游产业的信息技术应用落后于信息化发展;信息化对旅游产业发展的贡献较大,并具有长期性和稳定性;旅游产业发展对信息化有较强的正反馈效应。
Granger causality test and panel VAR are employed to analyze the interaction relationship between informatization and tourism industry development based on 2004--2013 panel data. The results show that the interaction relationship between informatization and tourism industry development exists, but the relationship should be coordi- nated furtherly. The reason of insufficient coordination is the application of information technologies in tourism industry lag behind informatization. The contribution of informatization to tourism industry development is relatively high, and processes attributes of long-range and stability. Tourism industry development produces the positive feed-back to informatization.
出处
《科技与管理》
2015年第3期13-19,共7页
Science-Technology and Management
基金
浙江省教育厅科研基金项目(Y201224509)
宁波市软科学基金项目(2012A10035)
关键词
信息化
旅游产业发展
互动关系
面板向量自回归
informatization
tourism industry development
interaction relationship
panel VAR
