摘要
本文基于财政支农和城镇化的新常态视角,利用协整分析、VECM模型、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解等技术比较分析了城镇化、财政支农与农民消费的关系,分析结果表明城镇化、财政支农与农民消费具有长期均衡的关系,两者能够促进农民消费,从长期看城镇化对农民消费的推动作用要大于财政支农。
Based on the new normality of urbanization and agricultural fiscal expenditure in China,the relationship of urbanization,agricultural fiscal expenditrue and farmers＇ consumption is analyzed through cointegration analysis,VECM model,impulse response and variance decomposition. The findings indicate that these three aspects have long-term balanced relationship. Urbanization and agricultural fiscal expenditrue can promote the farmers ＇consumption. In the long term,urbanization plays a more important role than agricultural fiscal expenditrue in promoting farmers＇ consumption.
出处
《青岛农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2015年第3期19-23,共5页
Journal of Qingdao Agricultural University(Social Science)
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(10YJC630372)
山东省高等学校科技计划(J14WE25)
关键词
城镇化水平
财政支农
农民消费
urbanization
agricultural fiscal expenditrue
farmers＇ consumption
