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新疆沙产业发展区域差异性及其相关影响的研究——基于多元统计的实证分析 被引量:6

Study on the Regional Differences and Related Effects of the Deserticulture Development in Xinjiang——An Empirical Analysis Based on Multivariate Statistical Analysis
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摘要 为研究新疆沙产业发展区域发展差异性,分析了沙产业发展与环境、经济的关系,选取塔里木盆地南缘的和田地区和准噶尔盆地南缘的26个县市(兵团)作为主要研究对象,数据来源于实地调查和2013年新疆统计年鉴、各地2013年统计公报等。筛选出当地沙产业发展、经济发展以及环境状况的10个典型指标,运用因子分析、聚类分析等方法,对调查区26个不同区域的沙产业发展进行了综合评价与分类比较,采用多元线性回归方法,分析了沙产业发展与环境、经济之间的相互关系,得出以下结论:1)沙产业发展能够改善环境,拉动经济;2)沙产业发展的焦点和难点为均衡性不足;3)沙产业前期发展的短板是"挤出效应";4)北疆沙产业发展的特点是后发优势明显。提出因地制宜,发展特色沙产业;加大科技创新投入力度,合理规划投资规模;扩大北疆后发优势,谋求南疆先发效应等建议。 In order to study the regional differences,the relationship between the deserticulture develop-ment and environment and economy about the deserticulture development in Xinjiang,26 counties were selected in Hotan Region and southern margin of Junggar basin,10 typical indexes of deserticulture devel-opment had been chosen.Using the factor analysis and the cluster analysis,the 26 survey areas were com-pared with the classification and comprehensive evaluation.Using the multiple linear regression analysis, this paper got the relationship between the deserticulture development and economy and the environ-ment.The results are as follows:(1 )one of the effect of the deserticulture development is able to optimize the environment and promote economic development;(2)the focus and difficulty of the deserticulture de-velopment is the equilibrium problem;(3 )insufficiency in early developing stage is“crowding out”effect;(4)the deserticulture development in North Xinjiang owns a significant potential advantage.Finally,the pa-per puts forward the following suggestions that we should suit the measures to local conditions,develop the characteristic deserticulture,increase the technology innovation investment,plan the rational scale of in-vestment,extend the backward advantage in north Xinjiang and seek immediate advantage in South Xin-jiang.
出处 《林业资源管理》 北大核心 2015年第1期31-37,共7页 Forest Resources Management
基金 新疆农业大学产学研联合培养研究生项目(xjaucxy-yjs-20131043)
关键词 沙产业 差异性 经济 环境 deserticulture difference economy environment
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