摘要
"新常态"下,我国装备制造业的健康发展至关重要。文章基于1980—2012年数据,运用VAR模型探讨装备制造业7个子行业对经济增长的动态冲击效应。实证结果发现,装备制造业7个子行业对经济增长的动态冲击效应存在显著差异:通信设备、计算机及其他电子设备制造业、交通运输设备制造业和电气机械及器材制造业3个子行业对经济增长的冲击效应比较显著,尤其是通信设备、计算机及其他电子设备制造业,其增加值对GDP的冲击在第4期高达0.038;而其他4个子行业对经济增长的冲击效应并不显著。
Under the “new normal”, the healthy development of China＇s equipment manufacturing industry is very important. In this paper, using the data from 1980-2012, we explore the dynamic effect of the equipment manufacturing industry of seven sub industries on economic growth by VAR model. The empirical results show that： the dynamic effect of the equipment manufacturing industry of seven sub industries on economic growth is different： communication equipment, computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing and electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing have an significant pulling effect on the economic growth, especially the communication equipment, computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry, the added value of its impact on GDP in the fourth period is up to 0.038.While the other four subsystems industry have no significant impact effect on the economic growth
出处
《改革与战略》
北大核心
2015年第9期166-171,共6页
Reformation & Strategy
基金
2014年度河南省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目"基于人力资源特征的河南省制造业转型升级路径研究"(项目编号:2014-gh-397)
关键词
装备制造业子行业
经济增长
动态冲击效应
VAR模型
the equipment manufacturing industry divisions
economic growth
dynamic impact effect
VAR model
