基于VAR模型的森林生态系统适应性管理与经济发展动态关联分析——以黑龙江省大小兴安岭森林生态功能区为例被引量：3

Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Adaptive Management of Forest Ecosystem and Economic Development Based on VAR Model:A Case Study of Daxing'anling and Xiaoxing'anling Forest Ecological Function Zone in Heilongjiang Province

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摘要将衡量森林生态功能区森林生态系统适应性管理效果的指标分解为气候调节、生态保持、产品供给、休闲服务4项,通过主成分分析计算得到各个指标的重要性;利用VAR模型分析黑龙江省大小兴安岭森林生态系统适应性管理与经济发展的相互影响;根据脉冲响应函数分析得到森林生态系统适应性管理与经济发展之间的动态关联关系,据此给出若干提高森林生态系统服务水平和促进经济发展的对策和建议。 Principal component analysis was used to calculate the importance of indicators that measure the adaptive management effect of forest ecosystem in forest ecological function zones,which were broken down 4categories into climate regulation,ecological keeping,product supply-demand and leisure services. VAR Model was used to analyze the interactive influences between adaptive management and economic development at Daxing ＇anling and Xiaoxing ＇anling Forest Ecological Function Zone in Heilongjiang Province,and the dynamic correlation were also simulated and analyzed by impulse response function.Finally,this paper presented some strategies and recommendations on enhancing the service level of forest ecosystem and promoting economic development.

作者李俊枝张滨吕洁华

机构地区东北林业大学经济管理学院满洲里俄语职业学院

出处《世界林业研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第5期73-80,共8页 World Forestry Research

基金黑龙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(14B123) 内蒙古自治区高等学校科学研究项目(NJSY379)

关键词森林生态系统适应性管理经济发展大小兴安岭生态功能区 forest ecosystem adaptive management economic development Daxing＇anling and Xiaoxing＇anling Forest Ecological Function Zone

分类号 S718.55 [农业科学—林学] F326.2 [经济管理—产业经济]

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