摘要
作者通过筛选,建立了以黑线姬鼠带毒鼠密度预报11月至翌年2月流行性出血热(EHF)发病率的数学模型,并进行了前瞻性验证,认为该公式适用于具有秋冬峰的EHF疫区。
A mathematical formula for predicting EHF morbidity from Nov. to Feb. has been established by means of the density of A. agrarius carrying EHFV which was selected from more than 10 surverillance factors. Prospective verification shows that this formula is suitable for the EHF endemic areas with fall-winter Peak.
出处
《中国媒介生物学及控制杂志》
CAS
CSCD
1991年第4期261-263,共3页
Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control
关键词
流行性出血热
疫情
预测
Epidemic hemorrhagic fever Morbidity prediction
