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营养风险指数预估老年血液透析患者病死率的价值 被引量:25

Value of the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index in predicting mortality of elderly patients undergoing hemodialysis
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摘要 目的探讨营养风险指数(GNRI)在预估老年血液透析患者病死率中的价值。方法回顾性分析上海交通大学附属第一人民医院肾内科2007年1月至2015年4月125例老年血液透析患者的临床资料。所有患者入组前透析时间超过6个月,计算GNRI指数,根据GNRI指数四分位数分为4组,以患者死亡为终点事件,采用Kaplan–Meier分析和cox回归模型分析两者关系,用ROC曲线分析GNRI对患者病死率的预测价值。结果4组老年血液透析患者GNRI指数分别为第1组≤92.06,第2组92.07~96.15,第3组96.16~101.25,第4组≥101.26,4组全因病死率分别为68.8%、58.1%、45.2%和25.8%(P=0.002),心血管病死率分别为50.0%、33.3%、26.1%和11.5%(P=0.013)。Kaplan–Meier分析结果提示随着GNRI的升高,5年总体生存率升高,cox回归分析结果显示GNRI与老年血液透析患者病死率显著相关(HR=0.940,P=0.001,95%CI:0.907~0.974),与心血管死亡显著相关(HR=0.906,P〈0.001,95%CI: 0.863~0.951)。ROC曲线提示GNRI预测全因病死率和心血管病死率曲线下面积分别为0.667(P=0.001)和0.717(P=0.001)。结论GNRI作为一个简单易行的客观评价指标,与血液透析患者的预后密切相关。 ObjectiveTo explore the reliability of the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) as a mortality predictor in elderly patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD).MethodsA total of 125 maintenance HD patients aged 〉60 years old who had received dialysis for over 6 months before entry was retrospectively examined. The values of GNRI were calculated, and death was taken as the end point. The patients were divided into 4 groups according to the quartiles of GNRI values. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were calculated using Kaplan-Meier and cox proportional-hazards analyses, and ROC curve was adopted for analyzing the predicting value of GNRI on mortality.ResultsThe GNRI of the four groups were ≤92.06, 92.07-96.15, 96.16-101.25, ≥101.26, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival rate was significantly different among 4 groups for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Cox regression model analysis demonstrated that the GNRI was a predictor for all cause (HR=0.940, P=0.001, 95%CI: 0.907-0.974) and cardiovascular mortality (HR=0.906, P〈0.001, 95%CI: 0.863-0.951). The area under ROC curve was 0.667 (P=0.001) for all-cause mortality and 0.717 (P=0.001) for cardiovascular mortality.ConclusionThe GNRI is a reliable predictor for all-cause mortality in maintainance HD patients, but more multi-center studies with larger samples are still needed.
出处 《中华医学杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第46期3741-3745,共5页 National Medical Journal of China
关键词 血液透析 老年营养风险指数 营养评估 病死率 Hemodialysis Geriatric nutritional risk index Nutritional assessment Mortality
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