摘要
本文利用2000-2007年我国中西部地区15个省份中1054个县域数据,分析了转移支付对城乡收入差距的影响。选择以西部大开发战略政策的准自然实验进行地理位置模糊断点回归分析,发现中央对西部地方政府的转移支付高于中部地区,然而西部地区居民城乡收入差距却没有因此得到缓解,反而扩大了20%。转移支付对城乡收入差距呈现扩大效应,该结果在不同带宽以及在距离或经纬度作为断点回归执行变量的情况下均具有稳健性。同时,机制分析发现,城镇居民收入从转移支付中受益程度高于农村居民。因此,本文认为转移支付应更有针对性地投向农村地区,同时中央政府应尽快合理调整转移支付结构,并纠正地方财政支出城镇偏向及结构偏向问题。
In this paper, using 1054 counties data of 15 provinces in Midwestern China from 2000 to 2007, we analyze the impact of transfer payments on urban-rural income gap. By choosing Develop-the- west Strategy which is a quasi-natural experiment and using regression of discontinuity of location, the result shows that local government in western China paid more transfer payments than in the central region, however, the income gap between urban-rural residents in the western region increased by 20 %. The widening effects are robust in different bandwidth situations such as distance or latitude and longitude. Meanwhile, the mechanism analyses find that urban residents benefit more than rural residents from transfer payments. Therefore, we believe that transfer payments should be more targeted to invest in rural areas, at the same time, the central government should rationalize the structure of transfer payments as soon as possible, and correct the urban bias and structure bias of local fiscal expenditure.
出处
《财贸经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第12期35-48,共14页
Finance & Trade Economics
关键词
转移支付
城乡收入差距
断点回归
Transfer Payments, Urban-rural Income Gap, Regression of Discontinuity
