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“一带一路”中国区域现代服务业发展水平评价——基于面板数据及突变级数法的分析 被引量:22

Evaluation on the Development Level of China's Regional Modern Service Industry in the“Belt and Road”Area— An Analysis Based on the Panel Data and Catastrophe Progression Method
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摘要 文章从"一带一路"重点涉及的五大区域中选取18省现代服务业发展水平为研究对象,利用2008-2013年现代服务业面板数据,应用突变级数法构建了现代服务业发展水平评价模型,对五大区域18省各年发展水平进行了定量评价。结果显示:6年间18省现代服务业整体发展水平有大幅度提升,差距有所减小,发展水平等级由低水平为主升级为以中等水平为主,五大区域发展水平从高到低依次为东南地区、内陆地区、东北地区、西北地区、西南地区。最后在分析各省现代服务业发展水平影响因素后提出提升策略,以促进各地区现代服务业发展。 This paper selects the development level of eighteen provinces' modern service industry from five key regions inthe"Belt and Road"area as the research object,employs catastrophe progression method to build the evaluation model ofmodern service industry development level by using the panel data of modern service industry from 2008 to 2013,and makesa quantitative evaluation on the development level of these provinces each year. The results show that the overall developmentlevel of modern service industry in these provinces has greatly improved and the gap has been reduced over six years,and themain feature of development has been upgraded from low level to moderate level. The development level from high to low inthe five regions is the southeast,the inland,the northeast,the northwest and the southwest. Finally,the paper proposes somestrategies to promote modern service industry development in all regions after analyzing the factors affecting the developmentlevel of modern service industry in these provinces.
作者 袁峰 陈俊婷
出处 《华东经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第1期93-99,共7页 East China Economic Management
基金 国家社会科学基金重点项目(14AZD017) 沈阳市社科联项目(SYSK2015-05-01) 辽宁省教育厅项目(W2015309)
关键词 现代服务业 发展水平 评价 “一带一路” 突变级数法 modern service industry development level evaluation the"Belt and Road" catastrophe progression method
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