摘要
本文采用时变参数向量自回归模型(TVP-VAR)研究了上证A股、上证B股和香港恒生指数之间的动态关系,分析我国资本市场对外开放政策的效果。实证结果表明:香港股市的有效程度高于内地,A股市场的有效性高于B股。向境内投资者开放B股有助于提高A股和B股市场一体化程度。QFII和QDII制度在保持国内市场平稳的同时建立了内地与香港股票市场的信息传递机制,提高了市场的一体化水平和有效程度。沪港通机制实现了沪市A股和港股的平稳的互联互通。
This paper uses time varying parameter vector auto regression (TVP-VAR) model to study the dynamic rela- tionship among returns of Shanghai A- and B-share index and Hong Kong Hang Seng index and the impact of opening up poli- cy on capital market. Result shows the efficiency of Hang Kong stock market is highest, A share market follows and B share market is lowest. B shares' opening to domestic investor strengthens the linkage between A and B share market. The launch of QFII and QDII constructs the information transmitting mechanism between mainland and Hong Kong stock market while maintai- ning the stabilization of them and enhances market efficiency. Shanghai and Hong Kong stock connect plays a role as construc- ting a mutual connect between Hong Kong and Shanghai stock market.
出处
《中国经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第1期124-135,共12页
China Economic Studies
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金"我国宏观审慎政策协调问题研究"(15YJA790090)的资助
关键词
市场一体化
TVP-VAR
沪港通
market integration
TVP-VAR
Shanghai and Hong Kong stock connect