摘要
本文据福建省的抽样调查数据,以"推拉理论"和新迁移经济理论为分析视角,建立二元Logistic分析模型,从城乡日常生活因素和家庭成员因素的角度考察随迁老人的城市定居意愿的影响因素。结果表明,随迁老人的总体城市定居意愿并不强烈,随迁老人城市子女的要求、随迁老人的配偶有定居意愿、随迁老人的其他子女没有要求随迁老人与其共同生活、随迁老人与城市家庭的关系越和谐、随迁老人越能够适应城市生活,则随迁老人的城市定居意愿的可能性越高,而随迁老人预期在农村的收入越高,其城市定居意愿的可能性越低。研究表明,以新迁移经济学理论为依据的家庭成员因素变量,对随迁老人的城市定居意愿有显著的解释能力。
This present paper uses binary logistic analysis model to examine the factors, which influences settlement intention of the elderly migrants from the perspective of urban and rural daily life and family members.This present paper is based on the sampling survey data of Fujian province and is guided by ＂push and pull theory＂ and new migration economics theory. The results show that settlement intention of the elderly migrants is not strong, when the elderly migrants＇ children have requirements, and the elderly migrants＇ spouses have settlement intention, and the elderly migrants＇ other children do not have requirement to live with, and the family relationship more harmonious, and the elderly migrants more able to adapt to city life, then the possibility of settlement intention in city is higher, but when and the elderly migrants expected the income in rural is higher, the possibility of settlement intention in city will be lower.Conclusion shows that family member factors have a significant capability to interpreter the settlement intention of the elderly migrants, which is based on the new migration economics theory.
出处
《晋阳学刊》
CSSCI
2016年第2期97-104,共8页
Academic Journal of Jinyang
基金
国家社科基金项目(14BSH045)
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(12YJA630144)
福建省社科规划项目(2014B156)
福建省社科规划项目(2014B156)的阶段性成果
福建省自然科学基金项目(2014J01263)
福建省软科学基金项目(2014R0040)
关键词
城市定居意愿
新迁移理论
家庭成员
随迁老人
LOGISTIC回归分析
Settlement intention in cities
The new migration economics theory
Family members
The elderly migrants
Logistic regression analysis
