摘要
为分析旅客在中长距离出行时出行方式选择的影响因素及影响过程,采用自主设计的调查问卷,获得1 295份旅客出行特征数据。按照中长距离常规出行方式分布情况,将交通工具划分为高铁和民航2种。运用非集计理论,将旅客的年龄、性别、职业、目的地、出行目的、出行费用、费用方式等个人特征和出行特征作为影响因素,并将2种出行方式作为选择肢,建立了旅客中长距离出行方式选择行为度量模型,并结合弹性理论分析了各个影响因素的敏感度。研究结果表明:出行距离、目的地城市等级、年龄、出行目的等9个因素对高铁和民航出行方式选择具有较强的影响,其中目的地城市等级、年龄和最希望出发时间的弹性值大于1,表明这3个因素对出行方式选择行为影响敏感度较高。
In order to analyze the influence factors and the influencing process of the passengers＇choices for medium-and-long distance travel,a self-designed questionnaire survey was carried out and 1 295 samples with passengers＇traveling characteristics were obtained.Based on the conventional travel modes distribution for medium-and-long distance travel,vehicles were divided into high-speed rail and civil aviation.The measurement model for passengers＇choices in mediumand-long distance travel had been constructed by disaggregate theory,with 2travel modes as alternative parts,considering the influence factors of personal and travel characteristics,such as passenger＇s age, gender, occupation, destination,travel purpose, cost, and payment.Meanwhile,the sensitivities of these influence factors were analyzed combining with elastic theory.The results show that 9factors including travel distance,level of destination city,age,travel purpose,etc.have significant influences on travel mode choices between high-speed rail and civil aviation.In all these influence factors,the elasticity values of the level of destination city,passengers＇age and the expected departure time are higher than 1,indicating that these three influence factors have higher sensitivity to the travel mode choice.
出处
《中国公路学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2016年第3期134-141,共8页
China Journal of Highway and Transport
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(0009-2014G6503015)
