摘要
推拉理论认为劳动力迁移是迁出地与迁入地之间推拉力作用的结果。本文利用美国国防气象卫星计划(DMPS)收集的夜间灯光数据和农民工问卷调查数据对推拉理论进行检验,研究发现,在控制人力资本、土地、住房、迁移距离和家庭等因素的条件下,经济目的是农民工外出务工的重要驱动力,农村老家的普遍贫困是农民工外出的推力,农民工迁移的方向是从经济发展水平较差的地区迁往经济发展程度较高的地区。此外,农民工1年内和3年内的返乡意愿受到家乡经济发展状况的显著影响。
According to Lee＇s Push-Pull Factors, the migration of labor force is the result of the factors associated with the area of origin and destination. This paper retests the Lee＇s Push-PuU Factors by combining big data （the Night-time Lights Data） with micro-data （the data of migrant workers）. Controlling the demographic characteristics, family attributes, migration distance and other personal factors and barriers, we find that the economic purpose is the important driving force of migrant workers, the common poverty of rural home is the main push factor of migrant worker, and the direction of migration is from the less developed areas to the developed regions. In the meantime, the paper also discusses the influence factors of migrant workers＇ willingness to return home.
出处
《华东理工大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2016年第1期10-18,共9页
Journal of East China University of Science and Technology：Social Science Edition
基金
教育部2013年度哲学社会科学重大课题攻关项目"户籍限制放开背景下促进农民工中小城市社会融合的社会管理和服务研究"(批准号:13JZD018)阶段性成果之一
关键词
推拉理论
灯光数据
事件史分析
Lee＇s Push-Pull Factors
Night-time Lights Data
event history analysis
