摘要
为确保海上通道突发事件应急响应的及时有效,针对应急响应过程中的方案决策问题,在案例推理方法思路的基础上提出一种两阶段相似度匹配的应急方案选择方法.首先,分别建立海上通道突发事件类型特征因子与情境特征因子体系.其次,在现有相似度计算方法的基础上,采用广义相似度,将不同数据属性进行统一,寻找与目标事件相似度最大的案例,从而确立目标事件的应急方案.最后,运用该方法对实际海上通道突发事件进行实例分析.研究结果表明,该方法具有可行性与有效性,可以在充分借鉴以往应急工作经验的基础上,较好地解决缺乏有效应急预案的海上通道突发事件的应急方案选择问题.
In order to make the emergency response for sea lines of communication effective and timely,a two-stage similarity matching of emergency plan selection method was proposed based on case-based reasoning,which focused on the problem of decision making in the progress of emergency response.Firstly,two different series of factors were created separately,which were category factors and environment factors.Secondly,based on the existing calculated method of similarity,the generalized similarity was applied to unify different data attributes to search the case having the maximum similarity degree with target event.Finally,two real cases study was introduced.Results show that the method is feasible and valid,which can solve the problem of emergency plan selecting better for lacking effective emergency response plan based on the previous emergency experience.
出处
《大连海事大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2016年第2期51-57,共7页
Journal of Dalian Maritime University
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71473023)
关键词
海上通道
突发事件
应急方案
sea lines of communication
emergency
emer gency plan
