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人口因素与山东省碳排放关系的初步研究

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS AND CARBON EMISSIONS IN SHANDONG PROVINCE
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摘要 以山东省为实证研究对象,在一系列碳排放影响因素中,选择了包括人口总量、家庭规模、人口城市化率、第二产业从业人口比例等六个人口因素,阐述它们与碳排放的可能关系;通过逐步回归分析,最终确定人口城市化率和第二产业就业率两个要素与山东省碳排放量关系最为密切;对分析结果做出解释并从人口控制的视角探讨减排措施. Taking Shandong Province as the research object, among a series of factors which may have impacts on carbon emission, the study chooses six demographic factors including population, family size, population urbanization rate, industrial population proportion, etc. , and elaborates the possible correlation with carbon emission. And through the stepwise regression analysis, we eventually singles out that population urbanization rate and industrial population employment rate are the two factors that most significantly influence the carbon emission volume in Shangdong Provice. Explanation to the analysis findings and discussion on emission reduction from population control perspective are also covered in the study.
出处 《山东师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2016年第2期102-106,共5页 Journal of Shandong Normal University(Natural Science)
基金 山东省高等学校科技计划资助项目(J11LE52) 山东省自然科学基金资助项目(ZR2015DM005) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助项目(15YJAZH069)
关键词 碳排放 人口因素 逐步回归 Shandong province carbon emissions demographic factors stepwise regression
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