摘要
2014年,全球海上风电累计装机容量为8770兆瓦。短期内全球海上风电市场仍将保持高度集中,预计2024年全球累计装机容量将达到49944兆瓦,其中欧洲约占75%。海上风电市场的重心将从浅水区向深水区域转移,机组容量大型化成发展趋势。随着海上风电工程技术的不断成熟,风电发电成本将持续下降。中国海上风电产业已初具规模,截至2014年底,中国海上风电实际装机总量达657.88兆瓦。投资风险大、管理制度差、标准规范不健全、装备资源弱等是导致中国海上风电产业发展缓慢的主要原因。一体化风电解决方案能大大降低开发成本,将成为未来中国海上风电发展的主流商业模式。
Globally, total installed capacity of offshore wind power was over 8,700MW. In the short term, the global offshore wind market will remain highly concentrated. By 2024, it is predicted that the total global installed capacity of offshore wind will reach 49,944MW. European will account for over 75% of cumulative capacity in the same year. The focus of offshore wind market will change from shallow water to deep water, and the large-scale unit capacity has become the development trend in the world. With the development of offshore wind engineering technology, the Levelised cost of energy （LCoE） of offshore wind will continue to decline in the future. As of the end of 2014, China＇s offshore wind industry has roughly formed a scale with the actual installed capacity up to 657.88MW. The main reasons for the slow development of China＇s offshore wind power industry include high investment risk, poor management system, defective industry standard and weak equipment resources. The most popular business model of offshore wind power in the future will be integration solution of offshore wind, which will sharply reduce the developing cost.
出处
《国际石油经济》
2016年第4期29-36,共8页
International Petroleum Economics
关键词
海上风电
装机容量
商业模式
发电成本
管理制度
装备技术
offshore wind power
installed capacity
business model
generating cost
management system
equipment technology
