摘要
产能利用不足对当前中国经济增长与产业升级构成了压力,也为产能过剩发生机制的相关理论提供了发展机遇。文章回顾了关于产能过剩成因的国内外观点,归纳出企业、宏观或行业、政府干预三个方面的解释路径,分别评价了其理论上的优缺点及现实解释力。文章认为未来深化相关研究应注重产能过剩与产品(生产)过剩的区别及联系,揭开了企业产能利用决策的"黑箱",强调一般均衡的分析方法,侧重证伪以应对当前"九龙治水"的困境,从而更好地为新常态下实现产能理性投资与高效利用提供理论依据。
The underuse of production capacity not only exerts pressure on China＇s economic development and industrial upgrading, but also provides an opportunity for the theoretical development of the occurrence mecha- nism of excess production capacity. This paper reviews standpoints at home and abroad as to how excess produc- tion capacity occurs, and summarizes various explanations from three respects including enterprises, industries and government intervention, while commenting on their pros and cons as well as explanatory power. Based on the above, we think that, future studies should focus on the difference and relation between excess production capacity and excess products, and the disclosure of the black box in enterprises＇ decision - making about capac- ity utilization. It is essential to emphasize general equilibrium and falsification to solve the dilemma of multi - sector management, so that a better theoretical basis can be found for realizing the rational investment and effi- cient use of production capacity in the new normal.
出处
《经济社会体制比较》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第3期186-195,共10页
Comparative Economic & Social Systems
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目"有偏技术进步下产能利用不足发生机制研究"(项目编号:71503198)
陕西省社会科学基金重点项目"丝绸之路经济带建设与陕西化解产能过剩的出口市场机遇研究"(项目编号:2015ZD005)
关键词
产能过剩
发生机制
政府干预
产业政策
述评
Excess Production Capacity
Occurrence Mechanism
Government Intervention
Industrial Policy
Review
