摘要
发展中国家在经济发展过程中,往往会面临中等收入陷阱风险。近年来,我国经济发展出现放缓现象,出现了一些中等收入陷阱特征。文章对我国经济增长、人口增长、收入分配、教育及科技创新的现状进行了阐述,同时对我国目前成功跨越陷阱所存在影响的因素进行了定性分析。随后运用计量经济学方法对影响我国跨越中等收入陷阱的主要因素进行量化分析,得到居民消费水平、科研支出、贫富差距、社会人口总负担与我国经济增长存在显著相关性。最后提出建议:扩大内需产生源动力;产业转型保证核心支撑力;缩小贫富差距,探寻人口动力突破点,以期早日成功跨越中等收入陷阱。
In the process of economic development,developing countries will often face the risk of middle-income trap. In resent years,the economy development speed in China become slower,and other signs of middle-income trap emerge. The paper expounds the situation of China in the aspects of economic growth, population growth, income distribution, education and technology innovation, and takes qualitative analysis on the factors that will block the way off the Middle-income trap. After quantitative analysis on the influence factors,it is found that there are significant correlation between the economic growth and the residents consumption,scientific expenditure,the gap between rich and poor,and the total population burden. Finally,some suggestions are proposed：to expand domestic demand to generate source force; to restructure industry and ensure the core support; to reduce the gap between rich and poor; to explore the key point of population dynamics so as to keep sustainable development and pass the middle income trap as soon as possible.
出处
《广西财经学院学报》
2016年第2期24-33,共10页
Journal of Guangxi University of Finance and Economics
关键词
中等收入陷阱
经济增长
扩大内需
技术创新
middle-income trap
economic growth
expand domestic demand
technology innovation
