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去产能过剩背景下中国不再需要投资吗? 被引量:3

Does not China Need More Investment under the Background of Reducing Excess Manufacturing Capacity?
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摘要 调整产业结构以及对产能过剩的产业减产限产虽然有助于化解产能过剩,但是调整产业结构是一个长期的过程,不可能一蹴而就,而过度地减产限产又会降低经济增长率,导致失业率上升等诸多负面影响。当前我国既要去产能过剩,又要稳增长调结构,稳增长是前提,调结构是目的。目前我国人均投资规模较低,仍然存在通过投资拉动经济增长的潜力。当前可以挖掘既能去产能过剩,又能稳增长的投资新思路。公共消费性基础建设投资、节能环保投资、"一带一路"投资、城镇化建设投资等契合这一新思路。为使这一新思路充分发挥效果,还需要克服一些制约因素,譬如需要理顺政府与市场的关系、健全政府官员的选拔考核和监督机制、消除所有制歧视等。 Although industrial structure adjustment and production reduction and restriction in certain industries help to resolve the problem of ex-cess manufacturing capacity, industrial structure adjustment will be a long-term process, which can not be achieved overnight. Meanwhile, production reduction and restriction will reduce economic growth rate, thus result in a rise in unemployment and many other negative effects. At pre-sent, on the one hand, China need not only to reduce excess manufacturing capacity, but also to maintain a stable growth and to adjust industrial structures, with steady growth as the prerequisite and structural adjustments as the goal. The current situation of China's low per capita invest-ment indicates that investment-driven economic growth still has its great potentials. Under current conditions, we should tap the new ideas and methods about investment, which we could use to reduce excess manufacturing capacity and maintain stable growth. Investments in fields as pub-lic consumption infrastructure, energy saving and environmental protection, 'One Belt and One Road', urbanization construction, fits this new ideas and methods. In addition, we need to overcome some restrains, such as rationalizing the relationship between government and the market,improving the evaluation and monitoring mechanisms and the selection of government officials, and eliminating the discrimination of system of ownership, to make full use of the new ideas and methods.
出处 《当代经济管理》 CSSCI 2016年第6期1-7,共7页 Contemporary Economic Management
基金 国家社会科学基金重大招标项目(14ZDB030)
关键词 产能过剩 投资 经济增长 excess manufacturing capacity investment economic growth
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