摘要
2014年下半年以来,受国内外复杂多变的经济形势影响,我国跨境资本流出压力日趋增大,资本外流风险不断加剧,资本短期内大进大出更是加大了跨境资本流动的复杂性和不确定性。基于此背景,本文运用间接测算法估算出近年来我国短期跨境资本流动规模,并对影响短期跨境资本流动的主要因素进行实证分析,以期为新常态下我国跨境资本流动问题的再认识及监管提供参考。
Since the second half of 2014, influenced by the complex and fickle economic situation, the pressure and risk of cross-border capital outflow in China have significantly increased. With the increased risk of capital out- flow, the short-term cross-border capital inflow and outflow has increased its complexity and uncertainty. Based on the background, this paper adopts the indirect method to estimate the scale of short-term cross-border capital flow and makes the empirical analysis on the main factors influencing the short-term cross-border capital flow. Finally, some policy implications have been presented as reference for the re-recognition and supervision on the cross-border capital flow under the＂new normal＂.
出处
《金融发展研究》
北大核心
2016年第6期79-83,共5页
Journal Of Financial Development Research
关键词
短期跨境资本
流动规模
影响因素
short-term cross-border capital, scale of flows, influence factors
