摘要
改革开放以来,增加农民收入逐渐成为农业政策的首要目标以及政府工作的重中之重。运用VAR模型结合1995-2014年的相关经济变量数据,对农民收入各影响因素进行实证分析,选取财政支农支出、城镇化率、农村固定资产投资、农业贷款作为自变量,通过协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数分析等技术指标分析各因素对农民收入水平的影响程度。结果显示:对农民人均收入的提高,短期内,农业贷款影响较大;长期来看,财政支农、城镇化的作用大于农业贷款、农村固定资产投资的作用。
Since China＇s economic reform,the promotion of farmers＇ income has gradually become the primary goal of agricultural policy and the most important work of the government.Using the VAR model combined with the relevant economic data from 1995 to 2014,the paper analyzes the factors affecting farmers＇ income,such as financial support for agricultural expenditure,urbanization rate,rural fixed assets investment,and agricultural loans as independent variables.The results show that agricultural loans have greater influence for the improvement of per capita income in short time,while in the long term,financial support for agriculture and urbanization has greater influence on per capita income than agricultural loans,and rural fixed asset investment.
出处
《青岛农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2016年第3期26-31,共6页
Journal of Qingdao Agricultural University(Social Science)
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(13YJC630021)
青岛市哲学社会科学规划项目(QDSKL130441)
青岛农业大学人才基金项目(632004)
关键词
农民收入
影响因素
VAR模型
farmers＇ income
influencing factors
VAR model
