摘要
借鉴国内外旅游流相关评价指标体系,基于中国旅游六大典型城市的统计数据,利用因子分析与系统动力学分析方法探讨了客源地驱动力、入境旅游流状态与目的地城市响应的模型。研究发现:1所构建的客源地驱动力、旅游流状态与目的地响应指标体系由3个目标层、13个准则层、43个指标构成。2构建了"驱动力—状态—响应"概念模型,具有很强的理论吻合性。3将入境旅游流与客源地驱动力系统、经济社会子系统、资源区位子系统、服务设施子系统和信息技术子系统逐一对应,构建整体动力系统因果回路图,研究体量匹配并对旅游与城市建设问题进行了探讨。
The accurate relationship of inbound tourist flow, origin country and destinations were the research focus. In reference of literature about evaluation index system and basing on the statistical data of six typical cities, this paper proposed a model of ＂driving - status - responding sys- tem＂by factor analysis and system dynamic analysis. The results showed that the model we proposed concluded six dimensions, which were driving force, status, economy and society, resources and location, service and facilities, information technology. This model was strongly aligned with the man - earth relationships model, which proved the proposed model was correct. In addition, this paper built a system dynamics model by combinatorial analysis of inbound tourism flow system with economy - society system, resource - location system, service - facility system information - technology system and original countries. Finally, limitations and recommendations for future research were presented.
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
CSSCI
2016年第10期1238-1243,共6页
Resource Development & Market
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"旅游流与目的地耦合:因素及模型与机制研究--六大城市入境旅游为例"(编号:41271158)
