摘要
无论从学术角度还是现实角度考察,TPP的最终实施效果必将与其文本所述的高标准国际贸易规则有所差距,故无需过分夸大TPP对中国的影响。但是,囿于自身改革的阶段性、谈判资源的有限性以及TPP实施的紧迫感,需对现有文献所提及的多条应对TPP路径进行优先排序。经过分析发现短期内应对TPP的有力突破口为积极参与RCEP谈判,而中长期最优应对策略为推动"一带一路"按照"南线(东、南亚段)—北线—中线—南线(中东地区段)"的顺序进行建设。
No matter from an academic point or from a realistic point, the final implementation effect of TPP is bound to have gap with the description of text. So there is no need to exaggerate the effect of TPP on China. However, limited by the periodicity of own reform, finiteness of the negotiation resource and urgency of the implementation of TPP, it needs to prioritize the several current routes provided by relative existing literature for coping TPP. This paper finds that the active participation in the RCEP negotiations is the powerful breakthrough in the short term, while the long-term optimal strategy is to promote the construction of ＂The Belt and Road＂ in accordance with the order that ＂South Line （East Asia, South Asia） -North Line-Middle Line- South line （Middle East）＂
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第5期10-16,50,共8页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
基金
教育部哲学社会科学发展报告重点建设项目“世界经济发展报告”(11JBG004)
上海财经大学国家级项目后续项目“东亚国家(地区)经济周期协动性及传导机制研究”(2012110831)
上海财经大学博士创新基金“货币政策、财政政策与经济转型发展”(CXJJ-2015-323)的成果
