摘要
文章对2005-2014年10年间丝绸之路经济带九省（市、区）的入境旅游收入、国内生产总值面板数据进行单位根检验、协整检验处理,然后构建面板数据回归模型进行分析.按照入境旅游对经济增长的拉动作用的强弱,并结合其各自的经济增长对九省（市、区）经济增长平均水平的偏离程度,将这九省（市、区）分为三类.第一类,拉动优势显著,包括陕西、青海、重庆、云南、广西;第二类,拉动潜力巨大,包括宁夏、四川、新疆;第三类,抑制效果明显,包括甘肃.在此分析结果基础上,提出针对性的建议.
With the unit root test and cointegration test, this paper processes the inbound tourism revenue and gross domestic product of the nine provinces along the Silk Road economic belt, and builds the panel data regression model to make analyses. Ac-cording to the strength and weakness of the inbound tourism of pulling function on economic growth, and combined with their re-spective economic growth for the deviation degree of nine provinces average levels of economic growth, the nine provinces and au-tonomous regions can be divided into three categories ： the first category is that the advantage of pulling is remarkable, like Shanxi, Qinghai, Chongqing, Guangxi and Yunnan provinces; the second category is that the potential of pulling is great, like Ningxia, Si-chuan and Xinjiang; the third category is that the inhibition effect is obvious, like Gansu. Finally, based on the analysis results, some pertinent suggestions are put forward.
出处
《旅游研究》
2016年第6期58-62,共5页
Tourism Research
基金
科技部科技基础性工作专项"黄土高原生态系统与环境变化考察"(2014FY210100)
咸阳师范学院科研基金项目"关天经济区城市旅游竞争力研究"(11XSYK316)
关键词
丝绸之路经济带
入境旅游
经济增长
面板模型
拉动作用
the Silk Road economic belt inbound tourism economic growth the panel model pull function
