摘要
本文基于1986—2013年京津冀能源消费、经济增长和碳排放面板数据,使用协整检验与格兰杰因果检验等计量方法,研究了京津冀能源消费、经济增长与碳排放之间的长期协整关系和格兰杰因果关系,分析了京津冀能源消费与经济增长对碳排放的影响。结果表明:京津冀地区经济增长、能源消费与碳排放之间存在长期协整关系及双向因果关系。在研究结论的基础上,本文针对如何制定和落实京津冀区域碳减排政策,以及实现京津冀协同发展环境治理的目标提出了相应政策建议。
Based on the panel data of energy consumption, economic growth and carbon emission in Jing-Jin-Ji area during 1986-2013, this study investigates the long term co-integration relationship and Granger Causality by using econometric methods. Results show that there exists long term balance relationship and bidirectional Granger causality relationship among economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emission. Suggested policy implications towards decreasing the carbon emissions and achieving the current goal to create synchronized environment improvements in Jing-Jin-Ji area are put forward based on the study conclusions.
出处
《中国能源》
2016年第10期34-40,共7页
Energy of China
关键词
经济增长
能源消费
碳排放
京津冀
Economic Growth
Energy Consumption
Carbon Emissions
Jing-Jin-Ji Area
