摘要
选取浙江省2009-2014年56个监测站的绿头鸭(Anas platyrhynchos)监测数据,对其数量分布和活动规律进行分析。结果表明,绿头鸭主要在临安、三门、亚林所监测站周边区域越冬,在不同监测站迁徙时间有所不同。在浙江省内越冬期为10月8日至翌年6月23日。春季在浙江省从南到北迁徙时间为3月27日至5月22日,秋季从北向南迁徙时间为10月8日至11月18日。通过数据挖掘,建立了临安监测站绿头鸭数量变化预测模型。
Analysis were made on quantitative distribution and migration rhythm of Anas platyrhynchos in Zhejiang province by monitoring data from 2009-2014 of 56 monitoring stations. The results showed that A. platyrhynchos overwintered around station of Lin'an, Sanmen, Yalinsuo with migration times from October 8th to next June 23rd in Zhejiang province. It moved from south to north during March 27 and May 22 and from north to south during October 8 to November 18. Forecasting model for quantitative variation of A. platyrhynchos in Zhejaing province was established by data mining.
作者
刘志立
方陆明
宁学芳
LIU Zhi-li FANG Lu-ming NING Xue-fang(School of Information Engineering, Zhejiang A & F University, Lin’an 311300, China Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Forestry Intelligent Monitoring and Information Technology, Lin’an 311300, China)
出处
《浙江林业科技》
北大核心
2016年第4期24-28,共5页
Journal of Zhejiang Forestry Science and Technology
基金
浙江省公益性技术应用研究计划项目(2014C33045)
浙江省林业智能监测与信息技术研究重点实验室开放基金
关键词
绿头鸭
迁徙规律
数据挖掘
时间序列建模
Anas platyrhynchos
migration rhythm
data mining
time series modeling