摘要
中印边界战争是中国领导人所不希望发生的一场战争。基于历史的考察可以发现,印度的国内政治、领导人个性、领土争端以及中国对于边疆稳定的需求是影响战争发生的重要因素。文章提出一种新的分析视角,认为引发战争的诸多因素中,想象的单边默契这一独特的战略思维方式发挥了重要作用。表现之一是中国关于边界的"暂维现状"政策并未被印方所正确认识,后者在国内政治因素的驱动下,不断挑起事端,造成中印边界冲突的升级;表现之二是印度对中印权力非对称结构的错误认识,导致中国的战略协商与威慑未能奏效,只能选择以武力的方式回应危机。在权力非对称维度下,研究国家单边默契思维的战略效应,对于分析国家的战略文化以及解决与中国相关的领土争端问题具有一定的理论和现实意义。
China's leadership absolutely does not desire to see a border war between China and India.This article offers a new analytical perspective on the origin of war in this case,namely that unilateral consensus plays a unique and highly influential role among the many contributing factors.A manifestation of this is China's 'temporary status quo'policy vis-à-vis the border,which was not correctly understood by India, which facing domestic political pressure,manufactured one incident after another,and ultimately escalated the border conflict with China.A second example is India's incorrect understanding of the structural power asymetry between China and India.This has rendered ineffective China's strategic consultations and deterrence efforts vis-à-vis India,and left China with the sole option of a military response.Under a context of asymmetric power,it is extremely critical that researchers pay close attention to the strategic effects of unilateral consensus.This will also have important theoretical and practical implications for research on strategic culture and related to China's territorial disputes.
出处
《当代亚太》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第5期33-65,共33页
Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies
基金
全国优秀博士学位论文作者专项资金资助项目(项目编号:201007)
北京外国语大学基本科研业务费资助的卓越青年教师项目(项目编号:2015QZ007)的系列成果之一
关键词
中印边界战争
单边默契
威慑
权力非对称
Sino-India Border War
Unilateral Consensus
Deterrence
Asymmetric Power
