摘要
郑汴产业结构升级一体化对于郑州和开封两市的经济发展至关重要。然而,郑州和开封处于不同的工业化发展阶段,两地经济总量差距大,产业结构不合理且一体化程度低,两地产业结构升级一体化困难重重。应用VAR模型,对郑州及开封的产业结构升级和经济增长进行格兰杰因果检验和脉冲响应分析,后者的结果表明产业结构升级在短期内会对两地的经济增长带来负面影响,但在长期内会对郑州的经济增长带来正面影响。据此,建议郑汴两地要加快推进行政体制改革,转变政府职能,找准地方产业定位,统筹产业发展规划,并最大限度发挥市场的基础性作用。
The integration of industrial structure upgrade between Zhengzhou and Kaifeng is crucial for the economic development of them. However, Zhengzhou and Kaifeng are different in the stage of industrialization. The dual economy gap between them is very big and their industrial structures are unreasonable and low degree of integration. So there are numerous difficulty. This paper use VAR model to make Granger causality test and impulse response analysis in the industrial structure upgrade and economic growth of Zhengzhou and Kaifeng. The results show that the upgrading of industrial structure has negative impacts on economic growth in the short term. But, in the long term, the upgrading of industrial structure has positive impacts Zhengzhou. On this basis, this paper advise that Zhengzhou and Kaifeng both should to accelerate the reform of administrative system, transform government function, find local industry positioning, make industry development planning as a whole, and maximize the role of market.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第1期123-128,共6页
Economic Geography
关键词
郑汴地区
产业结构
一体化
VAR模型
Zhengzhou and Kaifeng
industrial structure
integration
VAR model
