摘要
为了使更多乘客选择公交出行,结合哈尔滨市公交站点乘客感知问卷调查数据,建立乘客感知等待时间多元线性回归模型;利用风险函数的方法推导出乘客感知候车时间概率密度函数,据此推导出基于乘客感知的常规公交站点等待时间可靠性模型;采用实际算例进行验证。结果表明:模型计算结果与实际调查结果相差范围均在2%以内,具有较高的准确度。
In order to make more passengers choose bus travel,the multiple linear regression model of passenger perception on the waiting time for vehicle was established,on the basis of the survey data of Harbin bus station passenger perception.The probability density function of passenger perception on the waiting time was derived by risk functions and the reliability model of the waiting time at regular bus station based on passenger perception was deduced. The case study was carried out to verify the model. The results show： the difference between model results and actual survey results is in the range of 2%,and the model is of high accuracy.
作者
冯树民
张桂娥
FENG Shumin ZHANG Gui＇e(School of Transportation Science ＆ Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150090, Heilongjiang, P. R. China)
出处
《重庆交通大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
北大核心
2016年第6期105-108,119,共5页
Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science)
基金
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)项目(2014AA110304)
关键词
交通运输工程
常规公交
乘客感知
候车时间
可靠性
traffic and transportation engineering
regular bus
passenger perception
waiting time for vehicle
reliability
