摘要
以中国城镇化速度最快且属于特大型城市的北京地区失地农民为研究对象,基于2015年的入户调查数据,通过构建一个含内生选择机制的就业安置政策效应评估模型,评估政府就业安置政策效应。研究结果表明:就业安置政策有一定的积极效果;对接受就业安置的失地农民群体,就业安置政策对实现稳定就业的因果效应为0.45。进一步研究发现,虽然政府就业安置政策大幅度提升了失地农民在农林牧渔、餐饮娱乐业、物业管理与保洁等行业的就业概率,即保持了初次就业安置的成功率,但上述行业具有的低稳定性、低保障等特点,导致就业安置政策的长期效果降低。建议政府制定就业安置政策时要考虑失地农民对就业岗位的选择性偏好、就业行业与区域产业结构的结合等,以提高就业安置政策的实施效果。
Based on a survey data in 2015 in Beijing, where the speed of urbanization is the fastest as a giant city, this paper has estimated the treatment effect of job placement policies with self - selection and endogenous switching. It shows that there are positive effects on employment stability. For those peasants who have accepted job placement, the average treatment effect on treated is 0.45. Furthermore, this study finds that the employment probability has been largely enhanced in traditional sectors, such as farming, forestry, animal husbandly and fishery, catering and entertainment, property management and cleaning. That is to say, the policies have successful helped landless peasants find jobs for the first time. However, due to the unstable and low security nature of these jobs, the long term effects have been decreased. It is recommended that the selected preference and the combination of industrial structure with regional structure should be concerned when making the job placement policies to enhance the effect of the implementation of policies.
作者
陈建伟
王轶
CHEN JianWei WANG Yi(University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029 Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing 100048)
出处
《财贸研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第1期48-57,共10页
Finance and Trade Research
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"我国城镇化进程失地农民的就业问题研究"(14YJA790057)
北京市教育委员会科研计划人文社科面上项目"北京地区城镇化进程中失地农民的就业问题研究"(SM201410011007)
国家社会科学基金重大项目"构建和谐劳动关系研究"(12&ZD094)
关键词
失地农民
就业安置政策
政策效应评估
landless peasant
job placement policy
policy impact evaluation
