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基于DSGE模型的碳交易管理制度研究 被引量:2

Research on Carbon Trading System Based on DSGE Model
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摘要 围绕居民、企业、环境三者关系构建DSGE模型,重点研究碳排放权交易管理制度,研究发现:碳配额目标需要兼顾经济发展与生态环境,碳配额总量将影响经济和环境指标的稳态值;碳配额的总量目标不变时,调整免费配额比例只能影响有偿发放配额的均衡价格;不同配额计算方式(基准线或历史排放法)仅能影响配额的短期价格;不同定价方式(免费发放、竞价发放)的冲击只发生在短期,在中长期将回到同一稳态值;无论自愿减排行为存在与否,经济、环境都回到同一稳态值,但企业参与自愿减排行动时,对经济、环境指标都将带来利好。 The authors construct a DSGE model among residents,enterprises and environment in order to analyze the carbon emission trading system.The research shows that:the carbon quota would affect both economic development and ecological environment; if the total carbon quota target is unchanged,adjustment of the proportion of free quota may only influence the equilibrium price for paid issuance of quota; different quota calculation methods(baseline method or historical emission method) only affect the short-term price of quota; the impact of different pricing methods(free issuance,bidding issuance) occurs only in the short term; enterprise voluntary emission mitigation activity is helpful for the economy and environment.
出处 《科技与经济》 2017年第2期86-90,100,共6页 Science & Technology and Economy
基金 国家社会科学基金项目--"碳资产的特殊风险与收益研究"(项目编号:11BJY143 项目负责人:刘纪显)成果之一 广东省社会科学规划基金重大资助项目--"主体功能区规划下广东生态交易的理论探索--基于碳配额交易的视角"(项目编号:LLYJ1318 项目负责人:刘纪显)成果之一 教育部规划基金项目--"国际碳资产组合选择与定价"(项目编号:10YJA790114 项目负责人:刘纪显)成果之一
关键词 碳交易 管理制度 DSGE模型 carbon trading management system DSGE model
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