摘要
以太原市高新工业园区为案例,探讨同类型产业新型化、能源清洁化的高新工业园区"近零碳排放"的可能性与实现路径,核算并分析园区2005—2015年的碳排放状况,运用情景分析法对2016—2020年碳排放的相关指标进行预测和讨论。结果表明:太原市高新工业园区碳排放总量增速放缓,碳强度呈下降趋势,电力消费领域减排潜力巨大,未来有望实现"近零碳排放"。国家高新工业园区应积极推行电力清洁化、清洁能源使用、高耗能行业的低碳化改造与绿色产业发展,进一步挖掘碳汇潜力并积极参与碳市场,率先开展绝对量减排,逐步形成可推广、可复制的低碳发展模式,建成"近零碳排放"示范区。
Taking Taiyuan High - tech Industry Park as an example, this paper discussed the possibility of the ＂zero - carbon emission＂ of high - tech industrial park that had the characteristics of new industry and clean energy as well as the path to the goal, and accounted and analyzed the car- bon emission from 2005 to 2015 ,and forecasted the carbon emission from 2016 to 2020 by using the scenario analysis method .The results showed that the total carbon emission of Taiyuan High - tech Industrial Park was slowing down, and the carbon intensity was declining, also found that the potential of emission reduction in electric power consumption was huge. Therefore, Taiyuan High - tech Industrial Park had the possibility of ＂zero - carbon emission＂. Based on this case, the National High - Tech Industrial Park could actively promote the clean power, clean energy, low - carbon transfor- mation of high energy - consuming industries and green industry development. These parks could unearth the potential of carbon sinks and participate in the emissions trading scheme and be the first to carry out the absolute amount of emission reduction, gradually forming a low - carbon development model that could be popularizing and replicating, and simultaneously took the lead of building the zero - carbon emission demonstration area.
作者
杨军
裴彦婧
丛建辉
赵永斌
YANG Jun PEI Yah - jing CONG Jian - hui ZHAO Yong - bin(School of Management and Economic, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, Chin)
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
CSSCI
2017年第5期559-563,583,共6页
Resource Development & Market
基金
山西省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(编号:115544901002)
山西省经济社会统计科研项目2015年度立项课题资助
关键词
近零碳排放
高新工业园区
情景分析法
zero- carbon emissions
high- tech industrial park
scenario analysis method
