摘要
基于1998-2014年西北六省工业污染的面板数据,运用纵横向拉开档次法对西北六省工业污染指数进行测算和评价。结果表明:西北六省的工业污染综合指数差异明显,且整体上均呈现"W"型波动上升趋势,工业污染治理压力较大。为了检验西北六省工业污染影响因素,以工业污染综合指数为被解释变量,选取相关控制变量,采用固定效应模型进行实证检验,回归结果显示地区经济水平、能源消费结构变动、工业化进程、地方政府经济干预和地方政府能源工业基本建设投资对西北六省的工业污染具有显著的正向影响,而城市化进程加快对西北六省的工业污染具有显著的负向影响。认为经济新常态下,西北六省需坚决贯彻新型城镇化和新型工业化发展战略,调整产业结构;降低化石能源消费比例,提高能源利用效率,化解产能过剩;通过清洁发展,降低工业污染,提高环境绩效。
Based on the panel data of industrial pollution of six northwest provinces during 1998 -2014, the in- dustrial pollution index of six northwest provinces was calculated and evaluated by using the vertical and horizon- tal graded method. The results show that the comprehensive index of industrial pollution was significantly differ- ent in six northwest provinces, and the overall trend of ＂W＂ fluctuation was presented. In order to test the influ- encing factors of industrial pollution in six northwest provinces, we took comprehensive index of industrial pollu- tion as the explained variable, selected relevant control variables, using fixed effect model to empirically test. Regression results show that regional economic level, energy consumption structure change and industrialization process, the local government economic intervention and local government industrial energy infrastructure invest- ment all had significant positive impact on industrial pollution, and the process of urbanization accelerate had sig- nificant negative impact on industrial pollution. We suggest that upon the new economic norm, the six northwest- ern provinces need to resolutely implement the new urbanization and new industrialization development strategy, adjust the industrial structure,, reduce fossil energy consumption ratio, improve the efficiency of energy use, to resolve the overcapaeity, reduce industrial pollution and improve environmental performance through cleaning development.
出处
《干旱区资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第7期1-7,共7页
Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment
基金
安徽大学博士科研启动经费项目(J01001319-0044)
安徽省哲学社科规划项目(AHSKY2015D51)
2015年度安徽大学教研项目(ZLTS2015074)资助
关键词
西北六省
工业污染
拉开档次法
面板数据
固定效应
six northwest provinces
industrial pollution
the grade method
panel data
fixed effect
