摘要
战略评估是一个复杂问题,整个过程受到若干关键因素的影响。关键因素及其之间的因果关系是战略评估的核心构成要素,对战略评估分析有重要意义.针对战略评估问题中存在的复杂因果关系,提出了基于决策实验室的战略评估平衡计分卡因果关系分析方法.该方法充分利用专家经验和知识,结合图论和矩阵运算对因果关系进行定量分析,得到驱动战略发展的动因,为战略评估提供分析依据.利用该方法对国家战略利益进行分析实践,结果表明该方法是可行的,具有实际操作性.
Strategic assessment is a complex problem, and the whole process is influenced by several key factors.The key factors and their causal relationship are the core component of strategic assessment, being of great significance for strategic assessment. Aiming at the complex causal relationship in strategic evaluation, this paper proposes a method of causality analysis of balanced scorecard in strategic evaluation based on decision laboratory. This method makes full use of expert experience and knowledge, analyzes the causal relationship quantitatively with the combination of graph theory and matrix operation, and obtains the motivations of driving strategy development, and provides the basis for the strategic evaluation. The method is applied to the analysis of the national strategic interests. The results show that the method is feasible and practical.
作者
马治宇
罗批
MA Zhi-Yu1 LUO Pi1.
出处
《指挥与控制学报》
2017年第2期149-153,共5页
Journal of Command and Control
关键词
战略评估
平衡计分卡
因果关系
决策实验室
strategic assessment, balanced scorecard, causality, decision laboratory
