摘要
全球气候治理进入全新的"巴黎协定时代"。中国是否能够兑现减排承诺备受瞩目。文章从发展阶段、现实指标、政策选择三个维度进行分析,指出中国正在经历的"经济新常态"是后发国家追赶阶段的转型,在这一阶段是由高碳向低碳转型的"窗口期";能源消费总量增长率、能源消费弹性指标,以及工业化、城镇化、国际分工等现实指标,展示出中国正在步入低碳发展新常态;供给侧结构性改革的提出与推行,为中国实现低碳转型提供有利的政策环境。
Along with the forthcoming of the new era of Paris Agreement in global climate governance, China＇s carbon emissions reduction commitments has become a widely concerned issue. This paper explores the problem from three dimensions, that is, development stage, actual indicators and policy choices. China＇s new economic norm is the transition of the late developing coun- tries to catch up, in which stage the transformation from high - carbon to low - carbon is inevitable. Some realistic indicators, such as energy consumption growth rate, energy consumption elasticity index, industrialization, urbanization, and international division of labor, show that China is entering a new normal of low - carbon development. And the reform proposal and implemen- tation of the supplv side structural reform provides a favorable policy environment for China＇s low - carbon transformation .
出处
《学术探索》
北大核心
2017年第7期76-83,共8页
Academic Exploration
基金
中国气象局2017年度软科学研究项目"中国在全球气候治理中制度性话语权问题研究"
关键词
低碳转型
发展阶段
现实指标
政策选择
low -carbon transition
development stage
realistic index
policy choice
