摘要
通过1995—2014年度数据收集,量化农民转型指标,予以实证分析。结果表明,农民转型与人均GDP、二产增加值、城镇固定资产投资、城乡收入比之间存在双向影响;农民转型的Granger原因有市场化指数和三产增加值。因此,农民转型需要进一步推动第二、三产业的发展,加大第三产业比重,深入市场的改革,提高农民人力资本积累,从而助推农业现代化的实现。
Through the data collection of 1995 to 2014, the index of farmer transformation is quantified and the relationship between the farmers＇ transformation and the per capita GDP, the secondary and tertiary industry added value, the income ratio of urban and rural residents, the marketization index, and the urban fixed assets investment linkage analysis. The results show that there are bi-directional effects between farmers＇ transformation and per capita GDP, the increase of the value of secondary industry and the in- vestment of urban fixed assets. The Granger reason of farmers ~ transformation has marketization index and tertiary industry added value. Therefore, it is proposed to establish the unified factor market to pro- mote market-oriented reform, develop the tertiary industry to create non-agricultural employment opportu- nities, increase farmers＇ training to improve their employability, and ultimately promote the transforma- tion of modern farmers, Boosting the realization of agricultural modernization.
作者
张彤璞
ZHANG Tong-pu(Northwest Institute of Historical Environment and Socio-Economic Development, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi＇an 710062,China School of Economics and Management, Shaanxi University of Technology, Xi＇an 710021, China)
出处
《西安财经学院学报》
CSSCI
2017年第4期109-115,共7页
Journal of Xi’an University of Finance & Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"城镇化背景下现代农民的成长机制及政策环境研究"(14BJY031)
关键词
城镇化
VECM模型
农民转型
新型农民
urbanization
VECM model
farmers＇ transformation
modern farmers
