摘要
目的:通过开展未来时期人参全球潜在生态适宜产区分析,为其合理规划生产布局提供科学依据。方法:采用"药用植物全球产地生态适宜性区划信息系统"(Global Geographic Information System for Medicinal Plant,GMPGIS),以人参本草文献记载的道地产区、野生分布区以及当前主产区人参生态因子数值为依据,对其在全球范围内的潜在生态分布区进行分析。结果:亚洲东部、北美洲中部及东部、欧洲中南部及大洋洲东部地区是当前人参全球范围内的主要适生区域。随着全球气候变暖,在温室气体排放相对较少的A1b模型和排放较多的A2a模型下,2050年人参潜在生态适宜产区面积约为9 500×10~3km^2,比当前产区适宜面积增加了7.05%~7.12%,增长区域主要分布在亚洲东北部和欧洲北部地区;2100年人参适宜产区面积约为10 800×10~3km^2,比当前产区适宜面积增加了22.89%~27.41%,增长区域主要分布在欧洲北部及亚洲中部及东部地区。结论:气温升高有助于人参适宜产区增加,本研究结果可为人参生产布局规划、引种栽培、规模化种植提供科学依据。
Objective：Through the development of potential geographical distribution of producing area in the global range of ginseng,we aim to provide scientific basis for rational planning,production and layout planting of cultivation Methods：The potential distribution of P.ginseng in the world were predicted using GMPGIS according the site data from both the traditional producing regions recorded in past dynasties medicinal works and the popular production regions in the world.Results：East Asia,the Middle east of North America,the South central of Europe and part of Australia are the main suitable areas for growth of P.ginseng.As the global climate changes,with greenhouse gases under the A1b and A2a emissions scenario,by 2050,the potential distribution of P.ginseng will have a tendency to expend（9500＆#215;10.3 km2）,7.05%~7.12% larger than that predicted by current potential distribution area,and the potential distribution will have an increase area in 2100（10 800＆#215;10.3 km2）,22.89%~27.41% larger than that predicted by current potential distribution area The increase area are in north of Europe,middle and east of Asia Conclusion：Rising temperatures will help increases suitable region of ginseng in the world Use of GMPGIS to select the optimum production regions provides a new scientific basis for introduction,cultivation,tending,and cultivation for P.ginseng.
出处
《世界中医药》
CAS
2017年第5期974-978,共5页
World Chinese Medicine
基金
国家中药标准化项目(编号:ZYBZH-Y-TJ-43)
中国博士后基金项目(编号:2017M611130)
关键词
人参
GMPGIS
生态适宜性
全球变暖
潜在分布
GMPGIS
Panax ginseng
GMPGIS
Ecological suitability
Global warming
Potential distribution
