摘要
考虑蒙古国出口商品结构单一,进口商品具有不完全替代的特点,构建进口和出口需求模型,采用蒙古国2000~2016年季度数据为样本,分析并检验了蒙古国图格里克的汇率变动对进口贸易、出口贸易和贸易收支的影响。结果表明:图格里克汇率的变动能够影响蒙古国的进出口贸易,图格里克的贬值能够促进出口、抑制进口;马歇尔—勒纳条件在蒙古能够得到验证,但图格里克的贬值对贸易收支的影响是非线性的。
Mongolian export structure is single and import commodity is imperfect substitutable. Consider- ing these trade features, this paper investigates the influence of Tugrik exchange rate floating on import, export and trade balance in Mongolia using the import and export demand model with Mongolian quarterly data from 2000 to 2016. The results suggest that Tugrik exchange rate floating can affect import and export trade in Mongo- lia, and devaluation of the Tugrik can increase export and decrease import. Meanwhile, it suggests a fulfillment of Marshall - Lerner condition in Mongolia. However, the Tugrik devaluation has a nonlinear influence on trade balance
出处
《内蒙古社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第4期205-212,共8页
Inner Mongolia Social Sciences
基金
中国博士后科学基金资助项目"制度环境对我国金融包容发展的影响"(编号:2014M560199)
