摘要
制造业低碳化发展日益成为转型升级的必由之路。利用分行业分年份碳强度计算方式,引入加工贸易产品、细分能源测算等方法精确计算了中国制造业1995-2010年6个重要年份制造业的隐含碳整体排放及贸易排放情况。主要研究结论如下:化学工业、食品饮料和烟草制造业、金属冶炼及压延加工业行业排放最多,分别为9亿吨、7.9亿吨、7.4亿吨;净出口隐含碳排放行业比例一直保持在50%以上,2010年排放最多的行业为非金属矿物制品业、纺织业、通信设备与计算机及其他电子设备制造业,分别为0.15亿吨、0.10亿吨和0.02亿吨;进出口隐含碳排放密集度呈现两极分化的发展态势;为推动制造业"供给侧改革"低碳化发展,应倾向于支持隐含碳排放绩效高的行业、隐含碳排放密集度低的产业、净出口隐含碳排放绩效高的行业。
The low carbon development of the manufacturing is the necessary way of its transformation and upgrading. Based on the carbon intensity calculation of each year, the introduction of processing trade products, subdivision energy calculation method, we calculate the precise overall embodied carbon emission and trade emission of manufacturing in 1995, 1997, 2002, 2005, 2002, 2010 . Some findings are given: (1) the embodied carbon emission of the chemical industry, food、beverages and tobacco manufacturing industry, metal smelting and rolling processing industry emissions is the first third emission industry which is respectively 900 million tons, 790 million tons, 740 million tons. (2) the number of net exports embodied emission remained above 50%. In 2010, the non-metallic mineral products industry, textile industry, communications equipmentA computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing has the most emissions, which is respectively 0. 15 million tons, 0. 10 million tons and 0. 02 million tons. (3) import and export intensity of embodied carbon emissions presents polarization development situation. (4) to let the carbon emission of the manufacturing down with the supply side reform, some support should be given those industries which have high embodied carbon emission performance、low embodied carbon emission intensity A net export embodied carbon emission performance.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第9期46-54,共9页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
国家社会科学基金项目<要素价格上涨与环境规制趋紧下的中国制造业转型升级路径研究>(14BJY081)
关键词
隐含碳
制造业
排放绩效
供给侧改革
embodied carbon
the manufacturing
emission performance
reform of the supply side