摘要
为科学判断城市公共交通发展水平与城市综合发展水平的协调性,进一步拓宽城市公共交通的发展空间,明确城市公共交通行业的发展方向,以西安市为例,在确定城市公共交通与经济社会发展评价指标的基础上,运用DEA方法中的CCR模型分析公交与经济社会发展的综合效率、协调性的同时,进一步运用BCC模型探讨发展效率损失的原因,并根据CCR模型的特点计算相关评价指标的权重系数,在此基础上利用主成分分析构建城市公共交通与经济社会发展评价指数,揭示城市公共交通发展与城市经济社会发展间的协调性关系。研究结果表明:西安市公共交通发展滞后于城市经济发展的同时领先于社会发展,公共交通发展效率不足;经济与社会的发展均对城市公共交通发展具有较强的正向促进作用,经济发展对城市公交发展的促进作用高于社会发展,但社会发展能有效提升公交服务水平,对城市公共交通行业的发展起到提质增效的作用。政府部门应进一步优化资源配置方向,提高公共交通发展与经济社会发展的协调性,促进公共交通行业的可持续发展。
The scientific judgment of coordination between urban public transport development level and urban comprehensive development level is useful to broaden the development space of urban transport and define the developing direction of urban public transport industry. Taking Xi＇ an for example,based on the determination of urban public transport and economic and social development evaluation index,while using CCR model from DEA method for analysing comprehensive efficiency and coordination of public transport and economic and social development,the reason of developing efficiency lost is discussed by using BCC model,and the weight coefficient of related evaluation indicator is calculated according to the features of CCR model.On this basis,the evaluation indicator of urban public transport and economic and social development is set up by using principal component analysis,and the numerical relationship between them is revealed. The research result shows that（ 1） the development of public transport in Xi＇ an is lagging behind the development of urban economy but it is ahead of social development, and the efficiency of public transport development is insufficient;（ 2） the development of economy and society has a strong positive effect on the development ofurban public transport,the promotion of economic development to urban public transport is stronger than that to social development,but social development can effectively improve the level of public transport service,and can improve the quality and efficiency of the urban public transport industry development;（ 3） the government should further optimize the direction of resource allocation,improve the coordination between public transport development and economic and social development,and promote the sustainable development of public transport.
出处
《公路交通科技》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第9期130-137,共8页
Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(16BJY117)
关键词
运输经济
发展协调性
DEA
城市公交
主成分分析
transport economics
development coordination
DEA
urban public transport
principal component analysis
