摘要
选取2000—2014年的相关数据研究浙江省旅游业发展、产业结构升级与就业增长之间的关系,发现观察期内浙江省旅游业拥有长足发展,旅游业发展和产业结构升级、就业增长之间存在密切的联系。通过VAR模型检验可知,产业结构升级和就业增长在前期促进了旅游业发展,旅游业在发展后期加速了全省产业结构升级的步伐,并发挥了"就业蓄水池"的功能。脉冲响应分析和方差分解表明,短期内旅游业发展对产业结构升级和就业增长作出了突出贡献。旅游业发展更依赖于自身进步,且对产业结构升级和就业增长的冲击逐期增强,成为推动二者发展的主导力量。
This paper selects the data from 2000 to 2014 to study the relationship between the development of tourism industry,the upgrading of industrial structure and employment growth in Zhejiang province,it is discovered that during the observation period,the tourism industry of Zhejiang province had developed rapidly,there was a close relationship between the development of tourism industry and the upgrading of industrial structure and employment. Through the VAR model test can be seen that the upgrading of industrial structure and employment growth promoted the development of tourism at early stage,in the later,the development of the tourism industry accelerated the pace of the province＇s industrial structure upgrading and played the＂employment reservoir＂function. Impulse response analysis and variance decomposition indicate that in the short term,the development of tourism industry had made outstanding contributions to the upgrading of industrial structure and employment growth. Tourism development is more dependent on their own progress,and its impact to industrial structure upgrading and employment increased by phase and became the driving force of the two parties.
出处
《哈尔滨商业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2017年第5期119-128,共10页
Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目"我国反季旅游市场潜力的区域差异与开发策略研究"(12AJY008)
关键词
浙江省
旅游业发展
产业结构升级
就业增长
VAR模型
zhejiang province
the development of tourism
upgrading of industrial structure
employment growth
VAR model
