摘要
旅游业吸引力与城市建设密不可分,两者之间良性互动对微型经济体可持续发展意义重大。通过构建向量自回归模型,分析2002-2016年澳门城市人文发展水平、产业多元化程度与旅游业吸引力三者之间的关系,表明:澳门城市人文发展与产业多元化对澳门旅游业吸引力具有长期推动作用,但产业多元化的推动作用小于城市人文发展因素。短期内,澳门产业多元化对旅游业推动作用不显著,人文发展水平对旅游业发展推动比较显著,但效应小于长期作用。因此,澳门应积极推进城市内涵建设,提升人文发展对旅游业的吸引力;促进产业适度多元化,夯实旅游业长远发展的基础。
The development of tourism is closely related to urban construction,and the benign interaction between them is of great significance to the sustainable development of micro economy. By constructing a vector autoregressive model,this paper analyzes the relationship between the urban human development level,the degree of industrial diversification and the attractiveness of tourism industry in Macao during 2002-2016. The results showthat the Macao city cultural development and industrial diversification has a long-term role in promoting the city tourism attraction,industrial diversification role is less than the factor of city human development; in the short term,Macao industrial diversification of the tourism industry is not a significant role in promoting human development,and the level of development of the tourism industry to promote significantly,but the effect is smaller than the long-term effect. Therefore,in viewof the sustainable development of Macao,it is suggested to promote the connotation construction of the city,to promote the attraction of human development in Macao,to promote the moderate diversification transformation of the industry,and to lay a solid foundation for the long-term development of Macao's tourism industry.
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第5期166-172,共7页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
基金
2017年福建省社科规划应用研究后期资助重大项目"优化福建省民营经济营商环境问题研究"(项目编号:2017Z023)
