摘要
通过一般均衡理论对比了不同的水资源管理政策对经济的影响,认为宏观经济发展对于水量控制政策更为敏感。构建水资源CGE模型,分析2010~2020年高耗水行业在水量控制和水价控制不同情景下的影响结果。分析表明:在水量控制政策下,GDP和居民的福利水平显著下降,投资总额大幅上升;在水价控制政策下,GDP小幅上升,居民福利水平小幅下降,投资总额不断上升。
This paper analyzes the influence of different water resources management policies on the economy through general equilibrium theory. The analysis shows that the macro economic development is more sensitive to the water use control policy. The CGE model of water resources is constructed and the effects of water consumption control and water price control in different situations are analyzed from 2010 to 2020. The analysis shows that ： in the water use control policy, GDP and the welfare of the residents will decrease significantly, the total investment will increase significantly ; in the water price control policy, the GDP will increase slightly, the level of the residents welfare will decline slightly, the total amount of investment will be rising.
出处
《软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第12期29-33,38,共6页
Soft Science
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51279058)
关键词
高耗水行业
水量控制政策
水价控制政策
CGE模型
water-intensive industry
water use control policy
water price control policy
CGE model
