摘要
随着社会经济的发展,人口流动与集聚已经成为中国经济发展的一个基本特征。然而,影响人口集聚的原因和机理仍需进一步探究。理解人口流动和集聚的内在机制有助于推动新型城镇化建设、疏解大都市区人口以及建设新城区。在流动人口大军中,教育迁移的比例不断提高,教育迁移成为人口集聚的一个重要原因。利用1989-2010年期间地级市面板数据,采用系统GMM方法,提出基础教育与人口集聚之间先后呈现倒U型和U型关系,表明基础教育规模显著影响了人口集聚,而教育迁移成为促进人口集聚的一个新动力,特别是在2005年以来,教育迁移加速了人口集聚的趋势。因而,在建设新型城镇化以及大都市疏解人口过程中,应充分重视基础教育的引导作用,促成人口集聚与疏导人口合理布局。
As the social and economic development of China, population agglomeration has become a basic characteristic during economic growth. However, features that affect population agglomeration as well as its mechanism still need to be probed into deeply. Understanding the essential mechanism of population agglomeration helps to promote the new type of urbanization, to real locate metropolitan population and to construct new urban areas. Among the migrants, the ratio of those migrants for primary education has increased steadily. Thus educational migration has become an important reason for population agglomeration. Based on prefectural panel data during 1989 to 2010 ,with SYS GMM ,the author concluded that there is a close relationship between primary education and population agglomeration, which takes on a reverse U shape and U shape successively. Thus it has been proved that primary education scale affect population agglomeration distinctively and migration for education has become a new driving force for popu- lation agglomeration, especially for periods after 2005 with education accelerating population ag- glomeration. Attention should be paid on primary education for its guiding function so as to promote population agglomeration and real location during the process of new type of urbanization as well as metropolitan population control.
出处
《人口与发展》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第6期14-25,共12页
Population and Development
基金
国家自然科学基金应急管理项目(71641034)
中国社会科学院创新工程项目(RKSCX2017014)资助
关键词
基础教育
人口集聚
地级市面板数据
Primary Education
Population Agglomeration
Prefectural Panel Data
