摘要
工业是中国能源消耗和碳排放的主要领域,工业园区是中国工业集聚发展的主要形式之一。为促进工业园区的低碳转型,工业和信息化部、国家发展和改革委员会于2013年联合组织开展国家低碳工业园区试点工作。作者选取参与试点工作的18家工业园区为样本,采用STIRPAT模型分析了产业结构、能源结构、科研投入等因素对工业园区碳排放的影响。研究结果表明,园区生产总值是影响碳排放的重要因素,且二者呈现倒U型关系,证明了环境库兹涅茨曲线的存在;能源强度与园区碳排放显著正相关;产业结构和科研投入对园区碳排放影响也十分显著,且均表现为负相关关系;可再生能源的使用对减少园区碳排放的效果还不明显。研究结果表明应采用差异化的低碳发展路径来实现工业园区的低碳发展。
Industry is the major sector of energy consumption and carbon emissions in China, and industrial park is one of the main forms of industrial agglomeration development in China. To promote the low-carbon transformation of industrial parks, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the National Development and Reform Commission jointly launched the national low-carbon industrial park pilot programme in 2013. The authors select 18 pilot industrial parks and adopt the STIRPAT model to evaluate the effect of several influencing factors such as industrial structure, energy structure and R＆D input on the industrial park carbon emissions. The results show that the GDP of the industrial parks is one of the most important factors influencing the carbon emissions and there exists a ＇ reverse U shape＇ relationship between GDP and carbon emissions of industrial parks, verifying the existence of Environmental Kuznets Curve. The energy intensity has a significant positive correlation to the carbon emissions, and the industrial structure and R＆D input also have significant negative influences on carbon emissions. Meanwhile, renewable energy does not show an obvious effect in reducing carbon emissions. It is suggested to adopt the differentiated path in order to achieve the low-carbon development.
作者
禹湘
王苒
武占云
YU Xiang;WANG Ran;Wu Zhan-yun(Institute for Urban and Environmental Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100028, China;Center for Sustainable Development, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100028, China;Research Institute for Global Value Chains, University of International Business and Eeonomies, Beijing 100029, China)
出处
《城市与环境研究》
2017年第3期80-91,共12页
Urban and Environmental Studies
基金
中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目“重点工业企业碳管理能力提升路径与政策研究”(批准号:2014086)
中国社会科学院学科登峰战略“气候变化经济学”优势学科建设项目(2017年)
对外经济贸易大学新进教师项目“全球价值链视角下的中国制造业碳排放问题研究”(批准号:15QD27)
