摘要
在分析我国香蕉进口贸易现状及特征基础上运用Rotterdam模型对来自不同国家香蕉的进口需求的支出弹性和价格弹性进行了估算。研究发现,我国香蕉进口需求受到国产香蕉价格、进口香蕉价格、人均收入水平以及进口贸易自由化程度的影响非常显著;我国市场对厄瓜多尔、越南香蕉的进口需求对总支出富有弹性,而对菲律宾和泰国香蕉的进口需求对总支出缺乏弹性;厄瓜多尔、菲律宾及越南香蕉的自价格弹性为负且富有弹性,而泰国香蕉的自价格弹性为正且接近单位弹性;厄瓜多尔香蕉与菲律宾香蕉、越南香蕉之间具有较强的替代关系,泰国与菲律宾之间具有较强的互补关系。因此,要提高我国香蕉在本国市场的竞争能力,不仅要对蕉农提供优惠政策,还要针对不同国别的弹性特点采取适宜的贸易策略。
On the analysis of the current situation and the characteristics of banana import trade in China,the Rotterdam model is used to estimate the import demand elasticity of bananas from different countries to total expenditure and various import prices.The results show that both domestic and import prices,per capita income and the level of the import trade liberalization all remarkably influenze the import demand of bananas in China.What's more,the import demands of bananas from Ecuador and Viet Nam are rich of elasticity to total expenditure and those from Philippines and Thailand are lack of elasticity to total expenditure;The import demands of bananas from Ecuador,Philippines and Viet Nam are rich of negative elasticity to the prices of themselves while that from Thailand carries unit positive elasticity to the price of itself;Bananas from Ecuador could be replaced by those from Philippines and Viet Nam while bananas from Thailand replenish those from Philippines in China's market.Hence,favorable policy offered to the famers as well as proper trade tactics aiming at different countries should be carried out to enhance the competiveness of China's banans in the domestic market.
出处
《福建金融管理干部学院学报》
2017年第4期42-50,共9页
Journal of Fujian Institute of Financial Administrators
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目<我国鲜活农产品价格形成
波动机制与调控政策研究>(12&ZD048)
江西高校人文社科项目<供应链视角下江西柑橘价格风险形成机理与管理模式研究>(GL17230)
江西省教育厅科学技术研究青年基金项目<基于虚拟水的农产品贸易战略研究>(GJJ150394)
